Investor presentation, 8 November 2023
Released
Released
Announcement PDF
Investor
Presentation
8 November 2023
IMPROVING THE LIVES OF PEOPLE WITH
NEURODEVELOPMENTAL DISABILITIES
Pa
g e□
1
Forward looking statements
This presentation contains forward looking statements that involve
risks and uncertainties. Although we believe that the expectations
reflected in the forward looking statements are reasonable at this
time, Neuren can give no assurance that these expectations will
prove to be correct. Actual results could differ materially from those
anticipated. Reasons may include risks associated with drug
development and manufacture, risks inherent in the regulatory
processes, delays in clinical trials, risks associated with patent
protection, future capital needs or other general risks or factors.
2
Leadership in neurodevelopmental disorder therapy development
Developing new therapies for debilitating neurodevelopmental disorders that emerge in early
childhood and are characterised by impaired connections and signalling between brain cells
World’s
Clinical development in
1st and only approved therapy for Rett Syndrome
1
5 more neurodevelopmental disorders, all with Orphan Drug
designation, with no existing approved therapies2
no royalties payable to 3rd parties
Incorporated in New Zealand, based in Melbourne, Australia, listed on ASX (Code: NEU)
1 Currently approved in US only
2 Except growth hormone to treat some aspects of Prader-Willi syndrome
3
Seeking a ground-breaking impact on neurodevelopmental disorders
Rett
Fragile X
Phelan-McDermid
Angelman
Pitt Hopkins
Prader-Willi
MECP2
FMR1
SHANK3
UBE3A
TCF4
15q11-q13
Impaired communication between neurons,
abnormal formation/pruning of dendrites
& chronic inflammation
Neuren’s drugs target the
critical role of IGF-1 in this
upstream process, using
analogs of peptides that can
be taken orally as liquids
Severe impact on nearly every aspect of life
walking and balance issues
anxiety and hyperactivity
seizures
speech impairment
intellectual disability
breathing irregularities
impaired hand use
sleep disturbance
gastrointestinal problems
4
Attractiveness of Orphan Drug model
Neuren is targeting multiple “rare diseases”, but they are not “ultra-rare”
•
1
2
Incentivise
rare disease
drug
development
Priority review by regulators (e.g. 6 months in US instead of 10 months)
and higher probability of approval
•
3
4
Marketing exclusivity periods protect against generics independent of patents
(7.5 years in US, 12 years in EU, 10 years in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan,
China has proposed to introduce 7 years)
•
•
Urgent unmet need results in strong engagement from patient community
and leading physicians, and immediate access to known patients
Attractive pricing environment
5
Commercial and late-stage pipeline
Indication
Rett
Compound
Trofinetide
Geography
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
Registration
Commercial
rights
US
RoW
NNZ-2591
World
Trofinetide
World
NNZ-2591
World
PhelanMcDermid
NNZ-2591
World
Pitt
Hopkins
NNZ-2591
World
Angelman
NNZ-2591
World
PraderWilli
NNZ-2591
World
Fragile X
Preclinical
Phase 2 topline results in
Dec 2023
6
Financial strength to maximise growth opportunities
DAYBUE Net Sales (US$m)
Royalty to Neuren (A$m)
13.7
88
48.1
3.5
23
Q2 2023*
135.3
12.5
10.4
80
67
Neuren cash flows from
operating activities (A$m)
Q3 2023
Q4 2023 Acadia
Guidance
Q2 2023*
Q3 2023
(based on
actual net
sales)^
Q4 2023
(based on
Acadia
Guidance)^
-3.2
Q1 2023
Q2 2023
Q3 2023
Cash balance 30 Sep
2023E net sales of
US$170m – US$178m
2023E royalty of
A$26m – A$28m
A$230m
* Since launch to 30 Jun 2023
^ Based on 10% of DAYBUE net sales and AUDUSD of 0.6433 for Q3 and 0.6400 for Q4
7
Ongoing value creation with significant upside
NEU 1H 2023
DAYBUE
launched in US
DAYBUE's
successful launch
A$
evidenced by
consecutive
25.00
quarterly sales since
launch all beating 23.00
expectations
21.00
NEU and Acadia
expands global
partnership for
trofinetide
19.00
Average Broker
Valuation 6 Nov:
A$21.03 (A$17.50
– A$24.56)
17.00
15.00
13.00
11.00
FDA approval of
DAYBUE
Share price 6 Nov:
A$12.78
9.00
7.00
5.00
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Historical average broker valuation include Bell Potter, E&P, Jefferies, MST (until 14 Jul 2023), Petra and Wilsons (since 2 Mar 2023)
8
Three key drivers transforming near term value
1
3
Realise Neuren’s share of trofinetide
value in the US through Acadia’s
successful commercialization of
Confirm efficacy of NNZ-2591 in Phase 2 trials for four
valuable indications, with global rights retained by Neuren
2
Realise Neuren’s share of trofinetide
ex-US value through expanded
global partnership with Acadia
First top-line results in Dec 2023 for Phelan-McDermid
syndrome
9
Trofinetide
10
Trofinetide North America – DAYBUE™ US launch in April 2023
Potential Rett patients
US
Economics to Neuren:
6,000 - 9,0001
US$10m upfront in 2018
4,5001
Currently identified Rett patients
DAYBUE Net Sales (US$m)
67
US$40m in Q2 2023 following 1st commercial sale in the US
88
US$33m one third share of Priority Review Voucher awarded to
Acadia (assuming market value US$100m)
80
US$55m Milestone payments related to Fragile X
23
Q2 2023*
US$10m in 2022 following acceptance of NDA for review
Tiered Royalty Rates (% of net
sales)2
Q3 2023
Q4 2023
Acadia
Guidance
2023E net sales of
US$170m – US$178m
* Since launch to 30 Jun 2023
1 Acadia estimates
2 Royalty rates payable on the portion of annual net sales that fall within the applicable range
Sales Milestones
Annual Net Sales
Rates
Net Sales in one
calendar year
≤US$250m
10%
≥US$250m
50
>US$250m, ≤US$500m
12%
≥US$500m
50
>US$500m, ≤US$750m
14%
≥US$750m
100
>US$750m
15%
≥US$1bn
150
US$m
11
Exceptional DAYBUE US launch – as of Acadia Q3 results announcement
Strong and broad-based demand
•
800 patients on DAYBUE as at 30 Sep 20231
•
Surge in initial demand has exceeded pre-launch
expectations
•
81% of patients remain on therapy 4 months after starting
treatment2
•
Clinical efficacy, medical education and GI management
measures have produced significant benefits
•
75-80% compliance to labeled dose at 3 months
•
80% of covered lives covered by formal plans, up from
•
70%+ in September
•
~33% in August
•
20% in July
1 Net of any discontinuations
2 Measured by confirmed discontinuations only
Positive caregiver testimonials
“Her feet are much closer together with a more normal
gait… When she's standing her feet are at less than a 45
degree angle now, so even in one day, there was a great
improvement in the way she walks.”
“She is using her right hand more. She’s able to raise her
right arm and help caregivers put on her shirt, and touch
her nose and head using her right hand when previously
she did not use this hand at all.”
“Her speech has improved and she’s able to communicate
with people more, as well as make better eye contact.”
“[She] is able to communicate more with her eyes. She will
look at her cup and then back at caregiver, and when given
water will gulp it down. She also looked at her empty tray
as if to ask for food.”
“She is more alert, communicates better and her motor
skills have improved.”
12
Trofinetide outside North America – expansion of Acadia partnership
Transaction in July 2023 leverages
Acadia’s unique knowledge and
expertise from successful DAYBUE
development and commercialization in
the US and the established supply chain;
Acadia responsible for all costs
Economics to Neuren:
US$100m upfront
US$35m following 1st commercial sale in Europe
US$15m following 1st commercial sale in Japan
US$10m following 1st commercial sale of a 2nd indication
Europe
US$4m following 1st commercial sale of a 2nd indication
Japan
Europe
Japan
Other
Potential Rett
patients
9,000 14,0001
2,000 3,0001
~30,0002
Currently
identified Rett
patients
~4,0002
~1,0002
~2,0002
Sales milestones
On achievement of escalating annual net
sales thresholds:
Europe: up to US$170m
Japan: up to US$110m
RoW: up to US$83m
Tiered royalties
Mid-teens to low-20s % of net sales
1 Acadia estimates
2 Neuren estimates based on prevalence studies and patient organisations
13
NNZ-2591
14
5x larger opportunity for NNZ-2591
Potential patients
Disorder
Gene mutation
Published prevalence estimates
US1
Europe1
RoW1, 2
PhelanMcDermid
SHANK3
1/8,000 to 1/15,000 males and females
24,000
31,000
103,500
Pitt Hopkins
TCF4
1/34,000 to 1/41,000 males and females
6,000
8,000
28,000
Angelman
UBE3A
1/12,000 to 1/24,000 males and females
16,000
20,000
66,000
Prader-Willi
15q11-q13
1/10,000 to 1/30,000 males and females
17,000
21,000
72,000
63,000
80,000
270,000
•
Current opportunity for NNZ-2591 is more than 5 times the Rett Syndrome opportunity3
•
There are many other neurodevelopmental disorders potentially relevant for NNZ-2591 mechanism of action
•
Rett and Fragile X syndromes are licensed to Acadia, with same economics to Neuren as trofinetide; Neuren
retains worldwide rights to all other indications
1 Estimates derived by applying the mid-point of the prevalence estimate range to the populations under 60 years
2 RoW comprises Japan, China (urban population), Brazil, Israel, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand
3 Based on number of potential patients globally
15
NNZ-2591 has ideal attributes leading into Phase 2
Novel mechanism of action
Clear and consistent efficacy in mouse models of each syndrome
Biochemical effects in the brain confirmed
Optimum dose identified
Demonstrated high oral bioavailability and blood-brain barrier penetration
IND-enabling program of non-clinical toxicology and CMC studies completed
Proprietary drug substance manufacturing process with exceptional purity and high yield, administered as
patient-friendly liquid dose
Safe and well tolerated in Phase 1 trial
Orphan designations from FDA and EMA
INDs approved by FDA for Phelan-McDermid, Angelman, Pitt Hopkins and Prader-Willi syndromes
16
Key features of first Phase 2 trials
Overall aim – expedite data that informs the design of subsequent registration trials and
prepare for Phase 3 in parallel
•
Prioritising speed to data
•
Maximising opportunity to
demonstrate effects
•
•
•
Confirm safety and PK in
pediatric patients
PhelanMcDermid
Pitt Hopkins
Angelman
Prader-Willi
n subjects
Up to 20
Up to 20
Up to 20
Up to 20
Age range
3 to 12
3 to 17
3 to 17
4 to 12
Location
US
US
Australia
US
Assess treatment impact
across multiple efficacy
measures to select
primary endpoint for
registration trial
First top-line results in
Dec 2023 for PhelanMcDermid syndrome
NNZ-2591 treatment
Baseline
observation
Week 0
Follow-up
Up-titration
Week 4
Week 10
Week 17
Week 19
Phase 3 preparation
Non-clinical toxicity studies and optimisation of drug product and drug substance manufacturing
17
Phelan-McDermid syndrome has an overwhelming unmet medical need
Cause of the syndrome
Deletion or variation in the
SHANK3 gene on
chromosome 22
Broad and severe impact on life
Intellectual impairment
Behavioural issues
Sleep disorders
Seizures (~40% of patients)
Absent or delayed speech
Feeding difficulties
Motor delays
Low muscle tone
SHANK3 protein plays a
role in the formation,
maintenance and function
of dendrites and synapses
Sweat less, risk of overheating
High pain tolerance
Difficulties toilet training
(~3/4 of patients)
GI dysfunction (most commonly
constipation)
Walking abnormalities
Frequent hospitalization and
heightened risk of accidents
From Voice of the Patient Report
Externally-Led Patient-Focused Drug
Development Meeting 8 Nov 2022
“PMS has an overwhelming unmet
medical need. There are no FDA approved
treatments for PMS despite its severely debilitating
manifestations. Parents and caregivers are open to
trying almost anything to try to relieve their child’s
suffering; most have tried an incredibly high
number of treatments and approaches for
symptom management, with very little success.
Some received medications that caused more
harm than good”
“PMS has severe quality of life impacts
on those living with the disease, as well
as on parents and siblings. Most activities
of daily life, including communicating needs or
wants, self-care (bathing, dressing, toileting) and
socializing with peers/siblings are affected. Most
individuals living with PMS rely on their parents
and caregivers for all their daily needs, and many
require 24-hour care.”
18
Historically under-diagnosed, but this is changing
Estimated prevalence is 1% of people with autism - 1/8,000 to 1/15,000 males and females1
Potential PMS patients
US
Europe
Japan
China
Other2
17,000 – 32,0003
21,000 – 41,0003
5,000 - 9,0003
51,000 – 95,0003
16,000 - 31,0003
Phelan-McDermid Syndrome
Foundation members
2,937
Currently
3,216 1,739 US
members
3,106
2,688
2,394
2,108
1,735
1,437
1,239
75% of PMS
patients have been
diagnosed with an
ASD
~1% of autism
patients have
SHANK3 mutations
1,002
2014
Opportunity to accelerate diagnosis
2017
2020
2023
•
Rising awareness
•
EL-PFDD meeting
with FDA in 2022
•
ICD code assigned in
2023
•
Enhanced genetic
testing technologies
•
Expanding ADDM
network sites
Autism
US ADDM tracks
440k children with
autism spectrum
disorder
1 Phelan McDermid Syndrome Foundation (PMSF) (www.pmsf.org)
2 Brazil, Israel, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand
3 Estimates based on United Nations population data 2022, derived by applying the estimated prevalence range to the populations under 60 years (urban population only for China)
19
Phelan McDermid syndrome affects all genders and ages
% currently diagnosed patients by
gender1
% currently diagnosed patients by age group1
34%
36%
29%
48%
17%
52%
15% 16%
13%
12%
9%
5%
5%
5%
4%
1%
Male
Female
< 12 m
1-2 yrs
3-4 yrs 5-10 yrs 11-20 yrs21-30 yrs31-40 yrs41-60 yrs
Patients current age
60+
When first diagnosed
1 Estimates based on survey of participants in the Externally-Led Patient Focused Drug Development (EL-PFDD) meeting on Phelan-McDermid Syndrome 8 Nov 2022
20
Neuren has opportunity to achieve first approved treatment in PMS
Phase 2 data imminent
•
Results expected in
December 2023
•
Orphan Drug designation in
US and EU
•
Phase 2 clinical
development in the US
under an IND
•
Eligible for Rare Pediatric
Disease Designation
Priority Review Voucher
program
Limited products in development
Company
Neuren collaborating with all
stakeholders
Product Development Stage
Phase 2 results in Dec 2023
#2
Phase 2 terminated early
#3
Phase 1
#4
Pre-clinical
#5
Pre-clinical
Leading clinicians
21
Neuren’s Phase 2 trial in children with Phelan-McDermid syndrome
First study in pediatric patients, collecting the data needed to design a registration study
4 US sites: Rush University, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston Children’s Hospital and Texas Children’s Hospital
n subjects:
Up to 20
Age range:
3 to 12
NNZ-2591 treatment
Baseline
observation
Week 0
Up-titration
Week 4
Week 10
Secondary endpoints
Primary
endpoints
Safety, tolerability
and PK
+
Follow-up
Range of efficacy measures collecting
information from clinicians and caregivers
on overall change in PMS (e.g. CGI-I),
change in specific aspects of PMS (e.g.
communication and behaviour) and quality
of life
Week 17
Week 19
Enables
selection of the
best primary
efficacy endpoint or endpoints for a
registration
study
22
Consistent efficacy & clear dose response for NNZ-2591 in shank3 model
Memory
Learning
Sociability
Repetitive behavior
Daily living
Daily living
Incidence of seizures
WT + vehicle
KO + vehicle
KO + x mg/kg
KO + 2x mg/kg
KO + 4x mg/kg
KO + 8x mg/kg
0%
60%
50%
30%
10%
10%
Abnormal dendrites in
shank3 knockout mice
cells in culture
(pg/ml)
Anxiety
pERK
Motor function
length (µm)
In biochemical testing, NNZ-2591 was shown to
normalise the abnormal length of dendrite spines
between brain cells, the excess activated ERK
protein (pERK) and the depressed level of IGF-1 in
shank3 knockout mice
Normalisation after
treatment with NNZ-2591
23
Consistent efficacy in models of Pitt Hopkins, Angelman and Prader-Willi
Hypoactivity & anxiety
Daily living
Sociability
Daily living
Motor
Cognition
Angelman
Hypoactivity
Daily living
Learning & Memory
Sociability
Repetitive behavior
Motor performance
Pitt
Hopkins
Obesity
Circulating IGF-1
levels
Cognition
Hypoactivity
Hypoactivity
Daily living
Social preference
Social interaction
Anxiety
PraderWilli
24
Highlights
25
Highlights
1
2
DAYBUETM (trofinetide)
approved by US FDA as the
first and only treatment for
Rett syndrome, launched by
partner Acadia in Apr 2023
4
Accelerating Phase 2
development of NNZ-2591
in 4 indications, with potential
markets 5x Rett syndrome.
First top-line results in Dec
2023
3
Total economics to Neuren
from global trofinetide
partnership with Acadia up to
US$1bn1 plus 10 to low 20s
% royalties
5
Successful DAYBUE US
launch, with expected net
sales of US$170m–178m2 in
2023
6
NNZ-2591 novel mechanism
of action has many more
potential applications, with
Rett and Fragile X licensed to
Acadia
A$230m cash at 30 Sep 2023
– well positioned to maximize
the benefits of all value
creating opportunities
1 Including payments already received and future payments
2 Q2 actual net sales of US$23m, Q3 actual net sales of US$67m and Q4 net sales guidance of US$80m – US$88m
26
CONTACT
Jon Pilcher, CEO
jpilcher@neurenpharma.com
+61 438 422 271
27
Novel mechanisms of action - trofinetide
Trofinetide
•
Trofinetide is an investigational drug and a
novel synthetic analog of GPE, the aminoterminal tripeptide of IGF-1
Proposed Mechanism of Action1
Rett syndrome features:
•
Insufficient formation of new synapses by neurons
•
Excessive pruning of existing synapses by
overactive microglia
Trofinetide is thought to:
•
Improve synaptic function and restore synaptic
structure
•
Inhibit overactivation of inflammatory microglia and
astrocytes
•
Increase the amount of IGF-1 in the brain
GPE=glycine-proline-glutamate; IGF-1= Insulin-like growth
factor 1
1 Chahrour, Science, 2008; Itoh, J Neuropath Exp Neurol, 2007; Bourguignon, Brain Res, 1999; Tropea, PNAS, 2009
Source: Acadia Lavender Study Results Presentation https://ir.acadia-pharm.com/static-files/84457c64-60ab-4b2f-a166-edc1d465f4a8
28
Sustained and continued improvement observed in trials
RSBQ
Baseline
LAVENDER (12 weeks) Placebocontrolled
LILAC (40 weeks)
Open-label extension
Dose Group
RSBQ mean change
(12 wks)
Dose Group
Trofinetide
-5.1
Trofinetide
Placebo
-1.7
RSBQ mean change from Lavender baseline to end
of Lilac (52 wks)
n/a
CGI-I Score (at 12
wks)
Trofinetide
3.5
Placebo
3.8
New Lilac Baseline
CGI-I
Lavender Baseline
Trofinetide
Dose Group
-7.3
Dose Group
Trofinetide
-7.0
CGI-I Score (at 40 wks)
3.1
n/a
Trofinetide
RSBQ scores improved ≥7
points from Lavender
baseline
3.2
CGI-I improvements:
Trofinetide group:
0.5 improvement in Lavender,
then 0.9 improvement in Lilac
Trofinetide crossovers:
0.8 improvement in Lilac
Source: Acadia presentation (Acadia Corporate Presentation (4Q22 Earnings), Lavender Study Results (acadia.com))
RSBQ: n=161 for Lavender at 12 weeks; n=88 for Lilac at 40 weeks.
CGI-I: n=163 for Lavender at 12 weeks; n=91 for Lilac at 40 weeks. CGI-I uses a 7-point Likert scale; a score of 4 = no improvement; >4 = worsening and <4 = improvement.
29
Novel mechanisms of action – NNZ-2591
Reversible binding
regulates
bioavailability
IGF-1
Produce
essential
growth factor
Activates PI3K-AktmTOR and Ras-MAPKERK signaling pathways
in neurons, regulating
formation of new
synapses
IGF-1
receptor
on cell
surface
•
NNZ-2591 is a synthetic analog
of cyclic glycine proline, a
peptide that occurs naturally in
the brain, designed to be more
stable, orally bioavailable and
readily cross the blood-brain
barrier
•
NNZ-2591 can regulate the
amount of IGF-1 that is
available to activate IGF-1
receptors
•
The effects of NNZ-2591 are
“state-dependent” – correcting
impairment, but not impacting
normal cells
IGF
Binding
Protein‐3
Competitively binds to
binding protein,
regulating IGF-1
binding1
NNZ-2591
1 doi: 10.1038/srep04388: Guan et al, 2017: Cyclic glycine-proline (cGP) regulates IGF-1 homeostasis by altering the binding of IGFBP-3 to IGF-1
30
Share your feedback
Discover